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novel pneumonia 2019-nCoV pathology

The human-to-human transmission rate R0 has been estimated to be 1.4 to 2.5, which is significantly higher than 1. This mean that human-to-human transmission is efficient and sustained.

The fatality rate is around 4 to 14%

below is to compare this novel 2019-nCoV and some other deadly viruses

From Vaccinologist Dr Melvin Sanicas



Shi Zhao estimate a much higher R0 of 3.30 to 5.47





The #nCoV2019 coronavirus is scary but let's put things into perspective. It has caused (thus far) >500 cases & 9 deaths. Influenza, this season alone, in the US: 13 million cases, 6600 deaths. If you didn't get a flushot, don't be too worried about the #nCoV coronavirus  WEF20



Eurosurveillance

One of the most urgent priorities is to determine the degree of human-to-human transmissibility of the novel pathogen, and accordingly, this is where information is most urgently needed. The study shows that sustained human-to-human transmission has been occurring

Determining the exposure profile among the recently confirmed cases would directly contribute to this assessment. Additional information on approaches to case identification and laboratory testing protocols in Wuhan and in other cities in China would also be informative.

A separate priority is to identify the animal reservoir of this novel pathogen and any intermediary hosts, including potential supply chains of wild or game meat.

quoidansmonassiette

Tom Frieden

據內地傳媒報道,當局成立疫情科技應對小組,由國家衛健委高級別專家組組長鍾南山帶領,負責

Where:
追溯病毒源頭

What:
傳播途徑,
動物模型建立、
感染與致病機理、
基因組變異與進化

How:
快速免疫學檢測方法

Solution:
並研究重症病人優化治療方案和
研發快速疫苗
應急保護抗體研發、
快速疫苗研發、
中醫藥防治等  

techhandbook 

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